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Step 3: Expectations
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Step 1: Media
Step 2: Multi-touch
Step 3: Expectations
Step 4: Objectives
Step 5: Select a structure
Step 6: Add the numbers
Step 7: Costs and returns
Step 8: Draw camapign flow

 
Analyses R KMA
Where do we get these ROTs and norms from?
We have a fetish for recording and measuring everything we do.
This has resulted in a huge database of results covering hundreds of projects and millions of mailers and phone calls.
Our other fetish is analysis. We actually enjoy data mining and factor analysis.
The result is a very comprehensive set of norms, probabilities and ROTs that we love to share with others. If you are interested in understanding marketing and results this way, then we are your sort of people and we should be working together.

 
The road to unhappiness is paved with unrealistic expectations!
In setting marketing goals, the key to happiness is to set realistic expectations and then meet or exceed them. This section provides some ROTs (rules of thumb) on what results you can expect to get in typical lead generation campaigns.

How to use these ROTs (rules-of-thumb)
ROTs are always "wrong". That is, you can always find examples where they don't work.  Their value is in alerting you to possible problems. So, if your expectations fall within the ROT range, you are probably right (no guarantees). But if your expectations are well outside the ROT range - this is an indication that you should double check your numbers.
These ROTs are only for genuine opportunity generation projects (the difficult and valuable stuff). They don't apply to such things as loyalty newsletters, surveys and so on.
 
Real response rates for mail We only count "real" responders. Some people count "take me off your mailing list" or "please update my address" or "I want some information for my homework project" as responders.  We only count the ones who are raising their hand to positively indicate that they are interested in the content of your mailer. We call them "positive" responders.
Our ROTs may look depressingly low. But the results of most mailers have been depressingly low since the mid '90s.
Much higher response rates are often obtained by bribery; a free pen or some other trinkets and trash. Since you are selling a solution that costs many thousands of dollars it is silly to think that a senior (that is, rich) decision maker's desire to engage with you will be affected by offering them a $2 or even a $10 toy. So, the extra responders pulled in by a premium usually drop out at the next stage.
Simple letter 0%-0.5%
Self-mailer 0%-0.5%
Fancy mailer 0%-1%
Real response rates for email
Simple text 0%-0.3%
Simple HTML 0%-0.5%
Elaborate HTML 0%-1%

Qualified lead rates from telemarketing Assuming the common single-touch, three attempt project against the typical list.
To positive responders from mail, email or Web 5%-35% Positive responders (as defined above) often represent a rich vein of opportunity - as long as they were not "bribed" to respond.
Cold calls for a simple $40,000 solution 2%-3% We often see plans that say "20% of the market needs my solution". Even if this is true, valid leads will only be generated for those contacts who can be reached, who are aware of the need and who are not already engaged with another solution.  The lead rate tends to go down as the ticket-price and complexity of the solution goes up.
Cold calls for a complex $200,000 solution 0.5%-2%
 
Win rates from qualified leads Win rates depend critically on the quality of leads. The quality of leads depends on how the qualifying is done - or in the case of telemarketing, the experience of the callers.
Self-qualified 0%-5% Business cards in a fish-bowl, responders to a mailer, Web site visitors who fill out a form. Some people call these "sales" leads and believe that you can get a prospect to qualify themselves by filling out a form. We don't agree. As you can see from the win rates, our experience indicates that leads from these sources shouldn't even be called qualified.
Generated by regular telemarketing callers 5%-15% "Regular" callers are college graduates with two to five years relevant experience in industry or in your solution area. This level of caller generates leads with a high proportion of false positives.
Generated by experienced callers 15%-30% An experienced caller probably has a better resume than the sales reps they are passing the leads to. KMA's HiQ reps have an average of over 25 years in the IBM world of high-tech solutions.  Cold calling on valuable solutions and accurately judging the needs of a prospect in minutes demands a level of sophistication that only comes from experience. It can't be injected in a training session.
 
Expense to revenue ratios (E:R) Many people want to measure ROI for their marketing programs or campaigns. But we find that ROI methods differ greatly between organizations and comparisons are problematic. If you want to compare yourself with others or with ROTs, we recommend using Expense to Revenue ratios instead.
The maximum affordable E:R of a marketing project ??% This is one thing we can't tell you. It depends on the gross margin of your offerings and your net margin goals.  What we can tell you is that many big companies allow up to 20% for the total expense for marketing and sales. So, since the sales organization needs to be paid out of that, it suggests that the marketing expense had better not take half of the total - that is, marketing E:R would have a maximum of say 9%.  If you don't have a maximum marketing E:R for your organization's projects, give us a call right away!
Good E:R for a hardware upgrade campaign 3%-6% Let's say we call 530 of your customers at a total cost of $7,000.  We generate 16 qualified leads (3% lead rate) and you win 4 upgrades (25% win rate) for a total of $200,000 ($50,000 average sale including hardware, software and services).  Then the E:R would be 7,000/200,000 = 3.5% (very good).
If we only found 11 leads (2% lead rate) and you only won two of them (18% win rate) the E:R would be 7% - not good but probably affordable.
Good E:R for a campaign to sell a complex solution to new prospects 5% - 10% Winning new business is more difficult; some large companies accept that the total marketing and sales cost of a new customer sale may be as high as 30% of the first year's revenue. As a result, new business marketing is often only profitable if you look at the lifetime value of the new customers.

Let's say we call 600 of your prospects at a total cost of $8,000. We generate 12 leads (2% lead rate) and you win two new customers (16% win rate) for a total of $240,000 revenue in the first year ($120,000 average). Then the E:R would be 8,000/240,000 = 3.3% (very good for new business).
If we found only 6 leads (1% lead rate) and you won only one new customer (16% win rate) the E:R would be 6.7% - still pretty good for new business.

   
Need ROTs (rules-of-thumb) for other parameters?
Get in touch - we've got a whole set of them based on years of experience and hundreds of projects in the "IBM and Partner world". See the panel to the right for how to contact us.

 

Need help?



Need ROTs or norms for other parameters?

Just ask! We have a comprehensive set of norms based on real experience in the "IBM and Partner world".  Our huge database of results almost certainly contains some examples that overlap with your targets, your solutions and your size of company.

How to ask us

Call or email
Lisa Jochimsen
888-500-2536 Lisa.Jochimsen@kmaone.com

     
 
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